Gold Rises Most in a Week on Middle East, South Asia Tensions

Posted by Webmaster | World Gold News | Friday 26 December 2008 9:10 pm

Dec. 26 (Bloomberg) — Gold prices rose the most in a week as mounting tensions in the Middle East and South Asia boosted the appeal of the precious metal as a haven.

Palestinian militants yesterday launched their biggest rocket attack on southern Israel in at least six months after a truce expired Dec. 19. Pakistani troops are being diverted from tribal areas near Afghanistan to the border with India, the Associated Press reported. Gold gained 4 percent this week.

“The only possible explanation for gold’s gains are the geopolitical tension in Gaza and in India and Pakistan,” said Leonard Kaplan, the president of Prospector Asset Management in Evanston, Illinois.

Gold futures for February delivery climbed $23.20, or 2.7 percent, to $871.20 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, the biggest gain for a most-active contract since Dec. 17. The metal is up 6.4 percent this month.

Silver futures for March delivery gained 18 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $10.53 an ounce. The metal is still down 29 percent this year.

Indian Foreign Minister Pranab Mukherjee stepped up diplomatic pressure on Pakistan to act against those behind last month’s Mumbai terrorist attacks.

India is the world’s biggest buyer of gold, accounting for more than 20 percent of purchases last year, according to the World Gold Council.

Some investors buy gold as a haven when military tensions threaten to disrupt financial markets. Crude oil rallied as much as 7.2 percent.

The Middle East was responsible for 31 percent of global oil production in 2007, according to BP Plc, which publishes its annual Statistical Review of World Energy each June.

Gold, Oil Rally

“Not since 1967 is it so obvious there is going to be a war in the Middle East that will send gold and oil well past this year’s highs,” said Ralph Preston, a commodity analyst at Heritage West Financial Inc. in San Diego.

Gold, up 4 percent this year, is the only metal poised for an annual gain. Bullion may attract investors seeking a store of value as the dollar weakens and yields on short-term U.S. Treasury notes fall below zero.

“Gold may be a good place because it is competing against zero rate of return,” said Ron Goodis, a retail trading director at Equidex Brokerage Group Inc. in Closter, New Jersey. “When most else is unsafe, or yielding virtually nothing, at least gold has some historical significance.”

The Federal Reserve on Dec. 16 slashed the benchmark lending rate to almost zero from 1 percent. The federal-funds rate was at 5.25 percent in September 2007 when policy makers began to cut borrowing costs as the economy headed into a recession.

Platinum Gains

Platinum prices rose the most in almost three weeks on speculation that U.S. car sales will pick up after the Fed allowed lender GMAC LLC to convert to a bank.

GMAC’s shift eases the threat of a default that threatened to dry up credit for General Motors Corp. dealers who used the lender to finance about three-quarters of their inventories. GMAC also handled loans for about 35 percent of GM’s 2007 retail buyers. Automakers account for 60 percent of global platinum use, according to Johnson Matthey Plc.

“Platinum has some support,” said Frank McGhee, the head dealer at Integrated Brokerage Services LLC in Chicago. “Anything that helps consumers finance car loans should help lift car sales a little bit.”

Platinum futures for April delivery gained $31.10, or 3.6 percent, to $894.50 an ounce on the Nymex, the biggest gain since Dec. 8.

Palladium futures for March delivery rose $1.10, or 0.6 percent, to $176 an ounce. Platinum and palladium are used in pollution-control devices in cars. The metals have tumbled more than 41 percent this year as auto sales plunged.

Gold Rises, Halts 2-Session Drop as Dollar Falls; Silver Steady

Posted by Webmaster | World Gold News | Monday 22 December 2008 7:14 pm

Dec. 22 (Bloomberg) — Gold rose, halting a two-session slide, as a decline in the dollar revived the appeal of the precious metal as an alternative investment. Silver was little changed.

The dollar dropped as much as 1.2 percent against a weighted basket of six major currencies following a 3 percent gain in the previous two sessions. Gold’s rebound from a 13- month low in October has left the metal up 1.1 percent for the year and heading for an eighth straight annual gain.

“Gold’s trading off the dollar,” said Frank Lesh, a trader at FuturePath Trading LLC in Chicago. “A weak economy and all-time low interest rates don’t call for a strong dollar.”

Gold futures for February delivery rose $9.80, or 1.2 percent, to $847.20 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange’s Comex division. The metal gained 11 percent in the previous two weeks.

Silver futures for March delivery rose 1 cent to $10.86 an ounce. The metal has dropped 27 percent this year.

Investment in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest exchange- traded fund backed by bullion, rose to a record 775.3 metric tons last week. The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate to the lowest ever on Dec. 16, to between zero and 0.25 percent, in a bid to revive the economy.

Interest-Rate Cuts

Gold reached a record $1,033.90 on March 17 as rate cuts sent the dollar to an all-time low against the euro in July. The federal-funds rate was at 5.25 percent in September 2007 when policy makers began cutting their benchmark as the economy headed into a recession.

“We’re not going to get any revelations on the economy soon,” Lesh said. “Those who want to hold gold are still looking at a shaky equity market worldwide.”

Gold is the fourth-best performer on the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index of 19 raw materials this year behind cocoa, hogs and sugar. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index has dropped 41 percent in 2008.

Gold may finish the year around $850, Societe Generale said in a report on Dec. 19. The metal faces selling around $915 and support around $800, the bank said.

Gold ends above $800/oz as risk appetite improves

Posted by Webmaster | World Gold News | Wednesday 10 December 2008 9:03 pm

  • Reuters, Wednesday December 10 2008
* Gold rallies as risk appetite improves broadly
* Dollar remains weaker versus the euro, oil rallies
* Newmont CEO: government stimulation will help gold
(Recasts, updates with quotes, closing prices, adds NEW YORK to dateline, changes byline)
By Frank Tang and Jan Harvey
NEW YORK/LONDON, Dec 10 (Reuters) - Gold ended over 4 percent higher on Wednesday, rising above $800 an ounce on the back of technical support, broad-based commodity gains and higher appetite for risks across all asset classes.
Strength in the industrial metals and firmer equity markets also cheered buyers, as U.S. stocks held onto initial gains because of improved economic sentiment.
“It’s the strength that we are seeing in the global equity markets, and the better appetite for risk that is taking place today,” said Tom Pawlicki, precious metals and energy analyst at MF Global.
Spot gold traded at $807.70 an ounce at 3:10 p.m. EST (2010 GMT), up 4.1 percent from Tuesday’s close of $775.50.
In sterling terms, it rose to 547.58 pounds, only a hair below the recent high of 550.82 pounds it reached in October.
U.S. gold futures for February delivery settled up $34.60, or 4.5 percent, at $808.80 an ounce on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Citi analyst David Thurtell said gold’s rise had been fueled by technical factors, as key stops were triggered below $800 an ounce. “There is a little dollar weakness and oil jumped…so that is giving it a hand,” he added.
Rising crude prices, which can boost interest in commodities as an asset class and in gold as a hedge against oil-led inflation, have supported the precious metal.
Oil rose more than 3 percent to over $43 a barrel as OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia has slashed supplies to customers for January.
The dollar slipped to a two-week low against the euro as a tentative U.S. plan to bail out carmakers helped calm investor sentiment.
Traders are also eyeing the equity markets, which provided strong direction to gold on Tuesday. U.S. stocks were still higher in late trade on optimism that the rescue plan could help automakers and the economy.
European equities also edged higher as gains in miners, led by Rio Tinto after it announced job cuts, outweighed falling bank stocks.
Gold mining executives also said that the government market bailout plan would help gold.
“There are just a lot of economic signs that would indicate that the amount of stimulation that the federal government is suggesting it is going to take to get the economy moving, will lead to a depressed U.S. currency,” Richard O’Brien, chief executive of Newmont Mining, the world’s second largest gold producer, said in a telephone interview.
PLATINUM FIRMS
Platinum and palladium also strengthened a touch as the market awaited fresh news on a potential rescue plan for ailing U.S. automakers, which could improve the demand outlook for the metals used in catalytic converters.
Traders are eyeing a $15 billion U.S. plan to bail out carmakers, whose problems have knocked the metal in recent months.
Platinum has shed more than 65 percent of its value since its March peak.
Spot platinum was at $822 an ounce, up 2.3 percent from its previous finish at $803.50, while sister metal palladium was at $175.50, 2 percent higher than Tuesday’s late quote of $174.
Among other precious metals, spot silver was at $10.21, which was 4.4 percent higher than its Tuesday close of $9.79. (Reporting by Frank Tang; Editing by Marguerita Choy)

Gold rallies on economic optimism, inflation fears

Posted by Webmaster | World Gold News | Monday 8 December 2008 7:25 pm
Reuters, Monday December 8 2008
* Gold surge fueled by inflation fears, economic optimism
* Deflation seen short-lived
* Platinum boosted, helped by auto sector optimism (Recasts, updates with quotes, closing prices, adds byline and NEW YORK to dateline)
By Frank Tang and Pratima Desai
NEW YORK/LONDON, Dec 8 (Reuters) - Gold surged on Monday, boosted by an oil rally, a lower dollar and investor concern about inflationary pressures from the large amounts of money being pumped into the global economy.
Autocatalyst material platinum jumped more than 6 percent to $840 an ounce, while palladium gained more than 12 percent to $179.50 on growing optimism about a rescue for the auto industry in the United States.
“The government is going to bail out Chrysler, GM and Ford. Everything is going to be a little bit better down the road. There is more confidence in the financial markets, so the buyers are going back into the markets,” said Jonathan Jossen, COMEX gold options floor trader.
Spot gold was at $773.60 at 2:35 p.m. EST (1935 GMT), up 2.6 percent from Friday’s close of $754.60.
U.S. gold futures for February delivery settled up $17.10, or 2.3 percent, at $769.30 an ounce on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.
To some, talk of inflation is premature given the world is grappling with the prospect of deflation, but forward looking investors are adding to their holdings of the precious metal to preserve the value of their portfolios.
“We will see some deflation, but that will be short-lived and the inflationary impact of substantial fiscal stimulus … will inevitably lead to inflation,” said John Meyer, analyst at investment bank Fairfax.
Central banks have pumped cash into the world’s financial system and slashed interest rates in an attempt to ease the credit crunch and boost confidence.
IMMINENT BAILOUT
Adding to investor worries about inflation was oil, which rallied over 8 percent to above $44 a barrel.
Gold often rises in line with oil, which can trigger inflation, while a weaker U.S. currency makes metals priced in dollars cheaper for holders of other currencies.
The White House said it had made progress in talks with congressional leaders seeking to complete a rescue package for automakers and it was “very likely” a deal could be reached on Monday.
Expectations that the plan could be agreed were bolstered after U.S. President-elect Barack Obama provided hope with a weekend pledge to create more than 2.5 million new jobs by 2011 and launch the largest investment in U.S. infrastructure since the 1950s.
The news boosted platinum and palladium, used to make autocatalysts that cut carbon emissions.
Palladium was at $172.50, which was 8.2 percent higher than Friday’s late quote of $159.50, and platinum at $831.00 an ounce, up 5.4 percent from its previous finish of $788.
However, platinum prices are still more than 60 percent below the record high of $2,290 an ounce hit in March.
Spot silver rose as much as 9 percent to $10.35 an ounce and was at $10.03, which was 6.1 percent higher than its Friday close of $9.45.
The precious industrial metal has in recent weeks moved alongside base metals such as copper.